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Nhận định phiên Âu ngày 03/10/2011 (ban Tieng Anh, EUR/Dau/vang)
2011-10-03 15:12:28

 

PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 03 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3410.



Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.34 with 1.3285 & 1.326 in sight.



Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.341 will call for a rebound towards 1.3465 & 1.3525.



Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line, the pair has broken below its previous low and remains under pressure.



Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
 
Next »
GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.5600.



Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.559 with 1.549 & 1.5445 as next targets.



Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.56 will call for a rebound towards 1.566 & 1.571.



Comment: The pair has broken below its support and remains under pressure.
 
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USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 76.75.



Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 76.75 with 77.3 & 77.6 in sight.



Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 76.75 will open the way to 76.5 & 76.3.



Comment: The pair stands above its new support and remains on the upside.
 
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AUD/USD intraday: key ST resistance at 0.976.
Pivot: 0.976



Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.976 with targets @ 0.9575 & 0.95 in extension.



Alternative scenario: Above 0.976 look for further upside with 0.981 & 0.9875 as targets.



Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line.
 
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: aim @ 1590
Pivot: 1645.00



Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1645 with 1590 & 1555 as next targets.



Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1645 will open the way to 1670 & 1690.



Comment: The price is challenging a rising trend line, the RSI is mixed to bearish.
 
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Crude Oil (Nov 11) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 79.70



Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 79.7 with targets @ 77.5 & 76.5.



Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 79.7 will open the way to 81.5 & 84.



Comment: The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 79.7.
 




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